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Global Guessing Weekly Podcast (GGWP) and The Right Side of Maybe. GGWP is a weekly podcast about geopolitics and the science of forecasting hosted by the co-founders of globalguessing.com, Clay Graubard and Andrew Eaddy. Andrew and Clay also host the guest-focused, The Right Side of Maybe: A new podcast where we learn from and about elite forecasters.
Episodes
Thursday Apr 15, 2021
Thursday Apr 15, 2021
In early 2020, when discussion around a Covid-19 vaccine first started, our guest made a forecast regarding vaccine roll-outs that ended up being spot on. Dr. David Manheim—a Superforecaster at Good Judgement, top-ranked forecaster on Metaculus, researcher, and public policy whiz—got this question right, beating a crowd of superforecasters and showcasing his strong forecasting ability.
In this second episode of The Right Side of Maybe, we spoke to Dr. Manheim about his introduction to forecasting, his views on how to improve forecasts with some basic techniques, and the concept of Minimal Valuable Forecasts before digging deeper into his impressive Covid-19 prediction. We also spoke to Dr. Manheim about how forecasting plays a role in his personal life, and heard about his own process when it comes to approaching new forecasting domains.
David Manheim: https://twitter.com/davidmanheim
Global Guessing: https://twitter.com/GlobalGuessing
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